• 2022-06-15
    Passage2
    InGreenland,IceandInstabilityTheancientfrozendomecloakingGreenlandissovastthatpilotshavecrashedintowhattheythoughtwasacloudbankspanningthehorizon.Flyingoverit,youcanscarcelyimaginethatitcoulderodefastenoughtodangerouslyraisesealevelsanytimesoon.
    Alongtheflanksinspringandsummer,however,thepictureisverydifferent.Foranincreasingnumberofwarmyears,anetworkofbluelakesandrivuletsofmelt-waterhasbeenspreadingeverhigherontheicecap.
    Themeltingsurfacedarkens,absorbinguptofourtimesasmuchenergyfromthesunassnow,whichreflectssunlight.Naturaldrainpipescalledmoulinscarrywaterfromthesurfaceintothedepths,insomeplacesreachingbedrock.
    Theprocessslightly,butmeasurably,lubricatesandacceleratesthegrindingpassageoficetowardsthesea.
    Mostimportant,manyglaciologistssay,isthebreak-upofhugesemi-submergedclotsoficewheresomelargeGreenlandglaciers,particularlyalongthewestcoast,squeezethroughfiordsastheymeetthewarmingocean.Asthesepassageshavecleared,thishassharplyacceleratedtheflowofmanyofthesecreeping,corrugatedandfrozenrivers.
    Someglaciologistsfearthattheriseinseasinawarmingworldcouldbemuchgreaterthantheupperestimateofabout60centimetresthiscenturymadebytheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChangelastyear.(Seasroselessthan30centimetreslastcentury.)
    Thepanel’sassessmentdidnotincludefactorsknowntocontributetoiceflowsbutnotunderstoodwellenoughtoestimatewithconfidence.Ascientificscrambleisunderwaytoclarifywhethertheerosionoftheworld’smostvulnerableicesheets,inGreenlandandwestAntarctica,cancontinuetoaccelerate.Theeffortinvolvesfieldandsatelliteanalysesandsiftingforcluesfrompastwarmperiods.
    Thingsaredefinitelyfarmoreseriousthananyonewouldhavethoughtfiveyearsago.
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